Meta’s September launch of Muse, a personal artificial intelligence (AI) agent designed to act on a user’s behalf across digital workflows, crystallized the market’s latest disruption narrative.
Printer Friendly Version Bank lending rarely commands the attention that payrolls, inflation, or consumer spending do. But it helps determine how much momentum the economy can sustain. Commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, the workhorse of corporate finance, pay for everything from working capital to machinery and software. When banks are willing to lend and companies…
Printer Friendly Version LPL Research examines rising government debt costs, Treasury market stress, and what investors should watch as higher rates reshape the fiscal outlook. Treasury market headlines. There’s been no shortage of Treasury market headlines lately. Higher oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, weak Treasury auctions, and monetary policy changes and expectations have all played a…
Printer Friendly Version Stocks continue to climb a wall of worry, a wall that has gotten a bit taller as fall begins. The conflict in the Middle East, higher interest rates, and questions surrounding the enormous artificial intelligence (AI) capital spending boom all present legitimate risks for investors. While each of these challenges could generate…
LPL Research analyzes S&P 500 margin expansion, assessing how much is structural versus cyclical and what that means for future earnings forecasts.
Printer Friendly Version A hot CPI print. Friday’s slightly hot Consumer Price Index (CPI) report lifted the bond market’s odds of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed) this week to near 90%. Markets take it in stride. The positive reactions from stocks and bonds were interesting, suggesting that perhaps market participants have been…
August delivered the loudest bond market narrative in years, and almost none of it survived contact with the price action. Total public debt crossed $40 trillion on August 18. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 5.33% intraweek, a level last seen in 2007.
LPL Research explores why value stocks are outperforming, how free cash flow drives returns, and the impact of AI spending on markets.
With second quarter earnings growth for the S&P 500 on track to exceed 30% (excluding private investment mark-ups) and analysts continuing to raise estimates, it’s safe to say this season strengthened the fundamental case for equities.
Printer Friendly Version Talking Points Global growth is stabilizing, but leadership has shifted back to developed markets. The U.S. and parts of Europe are driving the latest improvement in business activity, while several large emerging markets have lost momentum after a strong start to the year. BRICS economies are mixed as India outpaces the others.…